## Analisa Teknikal GJTL (Gajah Tunggal) — Juli 16, 2026

**Harga Saat Ini:** Rp1,120 | **Market Cap:** Rp3.87T | **Dividend Yield:** 7.14% | **P/E:** ~3-5x

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### 1. Trend Harga vs 52-Week High/Low

| | Nilai |
|---|---|
| Harga Sekarang | Rp1,120 |
| 52-Week High | Rp1,265 |
| 52-Week Low | Rp925 |
| Jarak dari 52W High | **-11.5%** |
| Jarak dari 52W Low | **+21.1%** |
| Posisi dalam Range | ~87th percentile |

**Kesimpulan:** Price pullback ~11.5% dari high. Masih di upper range.

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### 2. Moving Averages

| MA | Value | vs Harga | Signal |
|----|-------|----------|--------|
| **EMA 10** | 1,116 | +Rp4 | 🟢 Bullish |
| **SMA 10** | 1,115 | +Rp5 | 🟢 Bullish |
| EMA 20 | 1,122 | -Rp2 | ⚪ Neutral |
| SMA 20 | 1,126 | -Rp6 | ⚪ Neutral |
| **EMA 50** | 1,132 | -Rp12 | 🔴 Bearish |
| **SMA 50** | 1,149 | -Rp29 | 🔴 Bearish |
| EMA 100 | 1,124 | -Rp4 | ⚪ Neutral |
| SMA 100 | 1,126 | -Rp6 | ⚪ Neutral |
| **EMA 200** | 1,108 | +Rp12 | 🟢 Bullish |
| **SMA 200** | 1,086 | +Rp34 | 🟢 Bullish |

**Summary:** MA Sell: 8 | Neutral: 1 | Buy: 6 — SMA 50 acting as resistance.

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### 3. Support & Resistance (Classic Pivot)

| Level | Value | Tipe |
|-------|-------|------|
| R3 | 1,602 | Strong Resistance |
| R2 | 1,357 | Resistance |
| R1 | 1,233 | Resistance |
| **Pivot** | **1,112** | **Balance Zone** |
| S1 | 988 | Support |
| S2 | 867 | Strong Support |
| S3 | 622 | Extreme Support |

**Catatan:** Harga sekarang (1,120) sangat dekat dengan Pivot (1,112) — zona netral.

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### 4. Indikator Teknikal (Oscillators)

| Indikator | Value | Signal |
|-----------|-------|--------|
| **RSI (14)** | **48** | ⚪ Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 50 | ⚪ Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -20 | ⚪ Neutral |
| **ADX (14)** | **14** | ⚪ No Trend (<20) |
| Awesome Oscillator | -15 | ⚪ Neutral |
| **Momentum (10)** | **0** | 🔴 Sell |
| **MACD Level** | **-8** | 🟢 Buy |
| Stochastic RSI Fast | 85 | ⚪ Neutral (Overbought) |
| Williams %R | -33 | ⚪ Neutral |
| Ultimate Oscillator | 42 | ⚪ Neutral |

**Kesimpulan Oscillator:** Sell: 1 | Neutral: 9 | Buy: 1

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### 5. Volume Perdagangan

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Avg Volume (3M) | ~1,001,200 shares |
| Beta (1Y) | 0.77 (low volatility) |
| Recent Sessions | 921K – 2.6M range |

**Assessment:** Volume moderat, Beta rendah (0.77) — GJTL less volatile daripada market.

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### 6. Overall Technical Verdict: **🔵 HOLD**

**Ringkasan Scorecard:**

| Faktor | Signal | Kekuatan |
|--------|--------|----------|
| Harga vs 52W Range | Bullish | Moderate |
| SMA 50 | Bearish | Moderate |
| SMA 200 | Bullish | Moderate |
| RSI (48) | Neutral | Weak |
| MACD | Buy (minor) | Weak |
| ADX (14) | Consolidation | Weak |
| Overall Oscillators | Neutral | Moderate |

**Reasoning:**
- **Short-term bearish:** Harga di bawah SMA 50 (1,149) & EMA 50 (1,132)
- **Long-term bullish:** Harga di atas EMA 200 (1,108) & SMA 200 (1,086)
- **RSI 48 + ADX 14** = Tidak ada trend jelas, stock sedang **konsolidasi**
- **Valuasi menarik:** P/E ~3-5x + dividend yield 7.14% = support fundamental kuat
- **Risk:** Support S1 di 988 (-11.8%), breakdown bawah 1,000 bisa accelerate selling

**Rekomendasi:** HOLD. Tunggu breakout di atas R1 (1,233) atau breakdown di bawah S1 (988) sebelum posisi directional. Dividen yield tinggi jadi cushion untuk holders jangka panjang.

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**File created:** `/home/ubuntu/gjtl_technical_analysis.md`
**Data sources:** TradingView Technicals, Google Finance GJTL:IDX | *Data: July 16, 2026*